TEXAS JOBS UP, UNEMPLOYMENT DOWN

The Texas economy grew to 3.4% August 2013 to August 2014 with 1.8 for the U. S.  That is nonagricultural jobs and 3.7% for nongovernment sector with 2.1 for nation.  Texas’ seasonally adjusted unemployment rate fell to 5.3% from 6.4%  a year ago and the nation’s rate decreased 7.2% to 6.1%.  All this according to the Texas Real Estate Center at TX A&M.  ALL Texas industries had more jobs with mining & logging & oil & gas FIRST.  Midland has the lowest unemployment rate, followed by Odessa, Amarill0, San Angelo, Lubbock, Abilene and Victoria.  TYLER & EAST TEXAS ARE SEEING THE SAME TRENDS, BUT NOT QUITE AS DRAMATIC.

 

HISPANICS KEY TO TEXAS, U.S. HOUSING MARKETS’ FUTURE

For the work that HUD does and the housing market in general, Hispanics truly are the future, according to HUD secretary Julian Castro, former mayor of San Antonio.  Castro was talking about the nation as a whole, but it applies to Texas.  52% of international immigrants from 2000 thru 2009 and by 2040 it is will be 52% are Hispanic.  For more TX population projections, read information from Dr. Jim Gaines at the TX Real Estate Center at TAMU.  The National Assoc. of HIspanic Real Estate Professionals said that within 6 years, 1/2 of first-time homebuyers nationwide would be Hispanic.  The potential is there if the economy and mortgage policy is working.  Tight credit markets must ease enough to help people secure mortgages.

COLLEGE DIPLOMA OR HOME? possible to have both …………….

Student loan debt is a financial headache for most people fresh out of college.  Conventional wisdom says to hold off for a few years, but a new RealtyTrac report suggests that while homeownership may be more difficult for new graduates, it’s not impossible.  Average student debt nationwise is $8,969, but these graduates need to earn 34% more than graduates with NO student loan debt.  Minimum household income with student loans is $34,394, but with no student loan then $27,064 OR can make less money to buy a house with no student loans.  4 our of 5 Gen Z teens say homeownership is the most important factor in achieving the American Dream.

THE DIFFERENCE 25 YEARS MAKES!

Since 1989 Tyler’s population went from 75,450 to 107,405, Smith County from 151,309 to 22,781 and Texas from 16,986,510 to 27,194,258.  Enrollment at Tyler Junior College in 1989 was 8,000 and now 9,973 and University of Texas at Tyler from 3,725 to 7,519.  The average car in 1989 was $12,000 and in 2014 $28,000 and a gallon of gas was $1.12 and now $3.35+/-  a gallon..  A new home average was $100,000 and now $289,500.  A gallon of milk was $2.30 and now $4.28 and a loaf of bread $0.61 to $1.98.  All of this according to Blakely Braughton writing for fall 2014 issue of TYLER TODAY.

MORTGAGE RATES: STEADY AS SHE GOES

The average 30 year U. S. Mortgage rate remained at a 52 week low the 3rd straight week.  The 4.1% rate is down from 4.53% at the start of 2014.  Rates have fallen even though the Federal Reserve has been trimming its monthly bond purchases intended to  keep long-term borrowing rates low.  The purchases are set to end in October.  Homes should be more affordable as a slowdown in home price increases + the low rates.  Greater affordability has spurred some recovery from slow spring & summer sales & construction fell earlier this year.  CoreLogic reported that home prices rose in July, but at a slower rate than last year.

JEAN FAD FRAYING? — part 2

In the 1950s the pants were called overalls of waite overalls & the teens started referring to them as jeans.  Then the bad-boy image with James Dean & Marlon Brando & schools banned them in class.  In 1960s to early 1970s, hip-huggers and bell bottoms became an anti-establishment statement.  Then 12 years ago khakis pushed jean sales down 3%. Now jeans are in colors & prints.  The was the last decline till now.  The “athleisure” is the biggest threat to jeans as it is a fundamental lifestyle change, according to Amanda Halley, associate clinical professor of fashion merchandising at LIM College in NYC.  “Everyone wants to look like they are running to the gym, even if they are not”.  Even “yours truly”, Carolyn Bain, Bain Real Estate wears yoga wear not only to exercise, but to run errands, to the grocery story and places she would never have worn them before!!

JEAN FAD FRAYING?

Americans’ obsession with jeans is beginning to run thin.  Sales have fallen 6% during the past year after years of steady growth.  Nothing is more comfortable for day and dressed up for evening wear.  Why the decline?  People more often are sporting yoga pants, leggings, sweatpants and other athletic wear.  Since colored skinny jeans were a hit a few years ago, nothing new.  Sales of yoga pants & other “active wear” increased 7% last year.  That also lead to “stretchy” jeans.  Businessman Levi Strauss & tailor Jacob Davis invented jeans in 1873 and patented the rivet for stronger pockets.  By the 1920s Levi’s original 501 jeans were the top-selling men’s workpants.     MORE TO COME NEXT BLOG.

WHY A RANCHETTE MAY COST MORE PER ACRES THAN …………

A 20,000 ACRE SPREAD DOWN THE ROAD.  20 acres of the average size tract of land sales in Texas with Houston/Gulf Coast areas have average price per acre of $9,195 and lowest is Panhandle at $1,674 per acre.  4,189 are number of small land sales in Texas in 2013.  Statewide average price per acre of small land sales in 2013 is $4,840 per acre.  33% of small land sales in 2013 occurred in the Central Texas/Hill Country.  The definition of a small land sales varies by region and may be as large as 8,000 acres on far West Texas to as small as 32 acres in Houston/Gulf Coast area.  Obviously fewer buyers can afford large tracts, SO BUY WHAT THEY CAN AFFORD.

 

ALL-CASH SALES ‘SUBSIDING’

This is GOOD news and BAD news!  Sales hit their lowest prices in the U. S. in March 2012, then the flurry of purchases by institutional investors & other cash buyers kicked off 2 years of buying & is now tapering off.  GOOD news is fewer cash buyers should help loosen up the inventory of homes for sale & reduce competitive bidding, giving non cash  & 1st time homebuyers a better chance.  The BAD news is that some non cash buyers & lst time buyers may be already priced out of the market as prices in the U. S. have increased in the past 2 years.  Daren Blomquist, RealtyTrac vice president noted 2nd quarter 2014 all-cash sales accounted for 37.9% of single-family homes & condos & down from 42% the previous quarter, but up from 35.7% a year ago.  As we say at Bain Real Estate it is always what BUYERS WILL PAY AND WHAT SELLERS WILL SEE FOR, that governs the market

 

EDUCATION OPPORTUNITIES IN TYLER

(1)  New nursing and health sciences building being built on the Tyler Junior College main campus to educate students in health care opportunities and jobs.  (2)  Tyler Independent School District with the new technology/computer school for high school students to open soon.  (3)  New University of Texas at Tyler pharmacy school.  Faculty now being hired and construction of building on UTT campus near the library is about finished.  (4)  Tyler Junior College Luminant program on the TJC West Campus on Loop 323 in Tyler.  It provides technical and leadership training for the power generation, mining and construction teams.  To get more on this program go to        LuminentPowerTrack.com               So MUCH GOING IN UPPER EDUCATION IN THE TYLER AREA.